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America will always be top dog
đ Camillaâs penpal | đ« Penguin downgrade | đ€ âMarie est maladeâ
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Sorry guys, youâre not catching up: a Chinese propaganda poster from 1973. Apic/Getty
America will always be top dog
For the past 250 years, the world has been shaped by the ârapid rise of great powersâ, says Michael Beckley in Foreign Affairs. That âage of ascentâ is ending. China, the last major riser, is âalready peakingâ, with a slowing economy and shrinking population. Japan, Russia and Europe stalled long ago. India has youth but lacks the âhuman capital and state capacityâ to convert it into power: around a quarter of working-age Indians didnât attend school and 40% of college graduates in their 20s are unemployed. Not only is the US still top dog, the GDP gap between it and the chasing pack is growing rather than shrinking. And this doesnât look likely to change. Over the next quarter-century, America will gain around eight million working-age adults while China will lose about 240 million, âmore than the entire labour force of the European Unionâ.
Itâs possible that AI will boost productivity in a way that allows lower-tier nations to vault up the ranks. But most economists expect the technology to add only about one percentage point to global annual growth â nowhere near enough to do the equivalent of what the Industrial Revolution did for the West. In the short term, this global sclerosis will spawn âacute dangersâ. Struggling powers will turn to militarisation to stave off decline, as Russia has done at Ukraineâs expense. Economic insecurity is already stoking extremism, and an unrivalled US is drifting towards âthuggish unilateralismâ. But over the long run, itâs surely good news. As the political scientist Graham Allison has noted, seven of the 10 cases of a rising power confronting a ruling one over the past 250 years have ended in âcarnageâ. History wonât end, âbut its most catastrophic chapter mightâ.
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Property
THE GEORGIAN HOUSE Rock House is a Grade II listed home overlooking the Bridgewater Canal in Worsley, just outside Manchester, says The Times. On the ground floor are the kitchen, with an Aga built into the original chimney breast, a dining room, a drawing room, a sitting room, a loo and a laundry room. On the first floor are the five bedrooms, a large family bathroom, a separate shower room and another loo. The southwest-facing gardens wrap around two sides of the property, including a lawn, flowerbeds and a Yorkstone-flagged courtyard. Central Manchester is a 20-minute drive. ÂŁ1.75m. To see the listing, click on the image.
Heroes and villains

Villain
Ali Shamkhani, one of Ayatollah Khameneiâs top henchmen, who is facing a fierce backlash in Iran over his daughterâs revealing wedding dress. Videos of the event show the theocratic hardliner, who led the National Security Council during the governmentâs violent crackdown on womenâs rights protests in 2022, escorting his daughter as she wears a strapless, low-cut white dress. He doesnât appear too bothered by the controversy, posting on Twitter: âIâm still here, you bastards.â
Villain
Richmond council in west London, which fined a woman ÂŁ150 for pouring her coffee down a drain. Burcu Yesilyurt was spotted by three enforcement officers and issued with a fixed penalty notice under Section 33 of the Environment Protection Act 1990. After initially insisting its staff had acted âprofessionally and objectivelyâ, the council has now cancelled the fine.
Villain
Penguin and Club chocolate bars, which can no longer be classed as chocolate bars because they contain so little chocolate. McVitieâs has tinkered with the composition of the biscuits because cocoa prices soared after a poor harvest in West Africa. Both snacks are now labelled as âchocolate flavouredâ, and the slogan for Club has been changed from âif you like a lot of chocolate on your biscuit, join our Clubâ to âif you like a lot of biscuit in your break, join our Clubâ.
Villains
Water bottles, according to Ian McEwan, who has railed against the modern obsession with carrying H20 everywhere. âThirty years ago, nobody had bottles of water,â the 77-year-old author told the Cheltenham Literary Festival. âYou had a drink from the tap when you got home. And suddenly we were persuaded that you canât go 10 minutes without being thirsty. This is a derangement.â
Quirk of language

A poodle proving its pudeln origins. Getty
The mysterious origins of English words
Words come from all sorts of places, says Joshua Blackburn in Literary Hub. âNicotineâ, for example, was named after Jean Nicot, a diplomat who brought tobacco to France. âPoodleâ, the water-loving dog, comes from the German word âpudelnâ, meaning to âsplash in waterâ. Some are mysterious: gizmo, hijack, flabbergast and queasy have no known origin. Others have been twisted by âfolk etymologiesâ, like the idea that âmarmaladeâ stems from âMarie est maladeâ, which was supposedly whispered to a seasick Mary Queen of Scots, âpresumably while munching marmalade on toastâ. (The word is actually borrowed from the Portuguese, who got it from the ancient Greek for apple.) And there are plenty you may have heard down the pub which are total balls: âCabalâ is not the initials of the plotters seeking to overthrow King Charles II; âPoshâ isnât an acronym for âPort Out Starboard Homeâ; âCrapâ has nothing to do with the plumber Thomas Crapper.
As language evolves, words get âlost, altered or invertedâ. Ping, swipe, text and troll have all changed their common meaning since the internet. Language purists enjoy pointing out that âdecimationâ technically means âthe slaughter of one in ten peopleâ and that a âmyriadâ is 10,000 of something, rather than an âindeterminably large numberâ. âAwfulâ once simply meant âfilled with aweâ and in the 1940s, a âblockbusterâ wasnât a cracking film but a sizeable bomb. Back in the 1500s, âbullyâ was an endearing term for a friend and in Old English âmeatâ described any type of food. âSillyâ was originally a Scottish word meaning worthy or pious. And an âovationâ wasnât raucous applause, but the âmodest receptionâ given to a returning military commander in ancient Rome who had fallen short of a triumph.
Life

Camilla and Charles on their wedding day. Tim Graham Photo Library/Getty
Back in the 1990s, at the height of public animosity towards Camilla Parker Bowles, the celebrity autograph hunter Andrew Broughton sent her a letter, says Ann Lee in The Guardian. âI just want you to know,â he wrote, âthat not everybody hates you.â Camilla wrote back to thank him, telling him that receiving such letters ârestores my faith in humanityâ, and the pair began corresponding regularly. When Camilla married Prince Charles in 2005, Broughton was invited to stand outside Windsor Castle. âShe came straight over,â he recalls. âShe said: âItâs lovely to put a face to the name. Donât stop writing.ââ Camilla then introduced Broughton to Charles, who told him how much heâd heard about him. âSheâd obviously been talking about me. It was quite a surreal day.â
Weather

Quoted
âThere are two ways of spreading light: to be the candle or the mirror that reflects it.â
Edith Wharton
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