America will always be top dog

📝 Camilla’s penpal | đŸ« Penguin downgrade | đŸ€” “Marie est malade”

Long reads shortened

Sorry guys, you’re not catching up: a Chinese propaganda poster from 1973. Apic/Getty

America will always be top dog

For the past 250 years, the world has been shaped by the “rapid rise of great powers”, says Michael Beckley in Foreign Affairs. That “age of ascent” is ending. China, the last major riser, is “already peaking”, with a slowing economy and shrinking population. Japan, Russia and Europe stalled long ago. India has youth but lacks the “human capital and state capacity” to convert it into power: around a quarter of working-age Indians didn’t attend school and 40% of college graduates in their 20s are unemployed. Not only is the US still top dog, the GDP gap between it and the chasing pack is growing rather than shrinking. And this doesn’t look likely to change. Over the next quarter-century, America will gain around eight million working-age adults while China will lose about 240 million, “more than the entire labour force of the European Union”.

It’s possible that AI will boost productivity in a way that allows lower-tier nations to vault up the ranks. But most economists expect the technology to add only about one percentage point to global annual growth – nowhere near enough to do the equivalent of what the Industrial Revolution did for the West. In the short term, this global sclerosis will spawn “acute dangers”. Struggling powers will turn to militarisation to stave off decline, as Russia has done at Ukraine’s expense. Economic insecurity is already stoking extremism, and an unrivalled US is drifting towards “thuggish unilateralism”. But over the long run, it’s surely good news. As the political scientist Graham Allison has noted, seven of the 10 cases of a rising power confronting a ruling one over the past 250 years have ended in “carnage”. History won’t end, “but its most catastrophic chapter might”.

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Property

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Heroes and villains

Villain
Ali Shamkhani, one of Ayatollah Khamenei’s top henchmen, who is facing a fierce backlash in Iran over his daughter’s revealing wedding dress. Videos of the event show the theocratic hardliner, who led the National Security Council during the government’s violent crackdown on women’s rights protests in 2022, escorting his daughter as she wears a strapless, low-cut white dress. He doesn’t appear too bothered by the controversy, posting on Twitter: “I’m still here, you bastards.”

Villain
Richmond council in west London, which fined a woman £150 for pouring her coffee down a drain. Burcu Yesilyurt was spotted by three enforcement officers and issued with a fixed penalty notice under Section 33 of the Environment Protection Act 1990. After initially insisting its staff had acted “professionally and objectively”, the council has now cancelled the fine.

Villain
Penguin and Club chocolate bars, which can no longer be classed as chocolate bars because they contain so little chocolate. McVitie’s has tinkered with the composition of the biscuits because cocoa prices soared after a poor harvest in West Africa. Both snacks are now labelled as “chocolate flavoured”, and the slogan for Club has been changed from “if you like a lot of chocolate on your biscuit, join our Club” to “if you like a lot of biscuit in your break, join our Club”.

Villains
Water bottles, according to Ian McEwan, who has railed against the modern obsession with carrying H20 everywhere. “Thirty years ago, nobody had bottles of water,” the 77-year-old author told the Cheltenham Literary Festival. “You had a drink from the tap when you got home. And suddenly we were persuaded that you can’t go 10 minutes without being thirsty. This is a derangement.”

Quirk of language

A poodle proving its pudeln origins. Getty

The mysterious origins of English words

Words come from all sorts of places, says Joshua Blackburn in Literary Hub. “Nicotine”, for example, was named after Jean Nicot, a diplomat who brought tobacco to France. “Poodle”, the water-loving dog, comes from the German word “pudeln”, meaning to “splash in water”. Some are mysterious: gizmo, hijack, flabbergast and queasy have no known origin. Others have been twisted by “folk etymologies”, like the idea that “marmalade” stems from “Marie est malade”, which was supposedly whispered to a seasick Mary Queen of Scots, “presumably while munching marmalade on toast”. (The word is actually borrowed from the Portuguese, who got it from the ancient Greek for apple.) And there are plenty you may have heard down the pub which are total balls: “Cabal” is not the initials of the plotters seeking to overthrow King Charles II; “Posh” isn’t an acronym for “Port Out Starboard Home”; “Crap” has nothing to do with the plumber Thomas Crapper.

As language evolves, words get “lost, altered or inverted”. Ping, swipe, text and troll have all changed their common meaning since the internet. Language purists enjoy pointing out that “decimation” technically means “the slaughter of one in ten people” and that a “myriad” is 10,000 of something, rather than an “indeterminably large number”. “Awful” once simply meant “filled with awe” and in the 1940s, a “blockbuster” wasn’t a cracking film but a sizeable bomb. Back in the 1500s, “bully” was an endearing term for a friend and in Old English “meat” described any type of food. “Silly” was originally a Scottish word meaning worthy or pious. And an “ovation” wasn’t raucous applause, but the “modest reception” given to a returning military commander in ancient Rome who had fallen short of a triumph.

Life

Camilla and Charles on their wedding day. Tim Graham Photo Library/Getty

Back in the 1990s, at the height of public animosity towards Camilla Parker Bowles, the celebrity autograph hunter Andrew Broughton sent her a letter, says Ann Lee in The Guardian. “I just want you to know,” he wrote, “that not everybody hates you.” Camilla wrote back to thank him, telling him that receiving such letters “restores my faith in humanity”, and the pair began corresponding regularly. When Camilla married Prince Charles in 2005, Broughton was invited to stand outside Windsor Castle. “She came straight over,” he recalls. “She said: ‘It’s lovely to put a face to the name. Don’t stop writing.’” Camilla then introduced Broughton to Charles, who told him how much he’d heard about him. “She’d obviously been talking about me. It was quite a surreal day.”

Weather

Quoted

“There are two ways of spreading light: to be the candle or the mirror that reflects it.”
Edith Wharton

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