The anti-America axis is a paper tiger

🔠 Hangin’ man | 📞 Real Rayner | 🌳 Tree of the year

In the headlines

The UK economy shrank by 0.1% in May, contracting for the second month in a row. The Office for National Statistics says the fall, which surprised analysts, was mainly driven by a drop in manufacturing and “very weak” retail sales. GPs will be told to stop issuing millions of sick notes and instead send patients to job coaches or the gym, in a pilot scheme to help get people back to work. GP surgeries in the trial will receive funding to co-ordinate with so-called “social prescribing workers”, who refer patients to non-traditional treatments such as gym memberships and gardening classes. The original Hermùs Birkin bag has been bought for €8.6m, becoming the most valuable handbag ever sold at auction. The nine bidders for the luxury accessory (pictured), designed for Anglo-French actress Jane Birkin in 1985, were rumoured to include Kim Kardashian and the rapper Drake, but sold to a private collector in Japan via telephone.

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L-R: Khamenei, Xi, Putin. Getty

The anti-America axis is a paper tiger

China, Russia and Iran have long been drawn together by their shared anti-Americanism, says Leon Aron in The Atlantic. All three benefit from embarrassing the West in Ukraine and the Middle East, and from widening the divisions between Washington and Europe. So Beijing’s response after Israel’s attack on Iran was instructive. Rather than forcefully sticking up for its supposed ally – by rushing over air defence equipment, say, or demanding an emergency session of the UN Security Council – the Chinese proceeded cautiously, refraining from an outright condemnation of Israel’s actions. The reason is simple: Tehran’s relationship with Beijing is “wildly asymmetric”.

China buys about 90% of Iran’s oil, and supplies materials essential to their weapons development programme. But its economy is around 40 times larger – Iranian oil accounts for just 10% of China’s supplies – and it does far more business with the US and Europe. So while Beijing is happy to support Tehran making mischief with the West in calmer times, it’s much less willing to do so when global stability is at risk. All this should give Vladimir Putin pause for thought. There’s a similar, albeit less lop-sided asymmetry between China and Russia, which is hugely reliant on its neighbour for both oil sales and military supplies. Given Beijing’s indifference to Iran’s fate, can the Kremlin really be confident that China will bail them out if things go south in Ukraine? The strength of the China-Russia-Iran “axis” was always overblown. Whereas Western democracies have traditionally shared a common worldview, these authoritarian regimes have little in common beyond their hatred for the West. And that can “bind an alliance together only so much”.

đŸ›ąïžđŸ’„ Iran’s dependency on the Chinese has also taken one of its last remaining bargaining chips off the table, says Jesse Marks in Foreign Policy: its threat to block the Strait of Hormuz. Some 50% of China’s oil passes through the waterway, and Xi Jinping has spent years bolstering trade and diplomatic ties with the Gulf Arabs. Doing anything to upend all that is a complete non-starter.

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Nature

The Woodland Trust’s tree of the year competition opens today, says The Guardian, with voters able to choose from a shortlist of 10 nominees, selected according to this year’s theme: “rooted in culture”. They include a 300-year-old cedar in Chiswick, west London that was once climbed by the Beatles; the Borrowdale Yews in Cumbria, described in an 1803 poem by William Wordsworth; the King of Limbs oak in Wiltshire, which inspired the name of a 2011 Radiohead album; and the Argyle Street ash, described in James Cowan’s 1935 book From Glasgow’s Treasure Chest as “quite the most graceful ash I have seen”. To see more, and cast your vote, click the image.

You’d have to be nuts to resist


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The rest of today’s newsletter includes:

đŸ« Why everyone is going nuts for pistachios
đŸ» Angela Rayner and Nigel Farage larking about like old chums
đŸ€‘ The AI boffin poached by Mark Zuckerberg for a cool $200m
đŸƒâ€â™‚ïž A new, high-speed variant of the classic spelling game hangman
đŸ‘” Why Kate Reardon’s 83-year-old mother pretends to be 90
đŸš¶ Nietzsche on the benefits of a good walk

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